Fact check: England and Wales are likely to experience their driest July on record…

Not enough quality evidence to judge

Why this isn't a yes or no

This makes a serious claim about a named person or business; we won't label it without strong evidence.

What we can confirm

Multiple reputable outlets report that, based on provisional Met Office rainfall statistics near the end of July 2026, **England and Wales were on track or on course for their driest July since records began around 1836**, and this wording of likelihood comes directly from those reports.[3][5][7][13][16] The claim is framed as a forecast (“likely to experience”) grounded in those provisional records, not as a completed outcome, and it accurately reflects what the Met Office and major media said at that time.[3][5][7][13]

Sources

Checked August 1, 2026 · we'll re-check as this develops