Is Netanyahu projected to win the Israel election

Available polling and reporting do not project a clear Netanyahu victory. The latest polling average places Likud only narrowly ahead of Yashar, while anti-Netanyahu parties hold more projected seats overall; neither bloc has a clear path to the 61-seat majority needed to form a government.

The latest polls ahead of Israel’s 2026 election

Israel Election 2026: Polls, Average and Coalition Tracker | Israel.com

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Currently, no candidate has a clear path to power, according to the polling average.

Israel’s opposition parties would win 52 seats against 51 for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition, according to a poll published Sunday, 23 days before elections scheduled for Oct. 27.

Netanyahu's outgoing coalition averages 51.3 seats in the latest polls, 10 short of a majority.

Is Netanyahu projected to win the Israel election

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